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2024-12-14 11:33:01

The yield of 10-year Japanese government bonds rose by 1 basis point to 1.075%.CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".The strategy of Guojun Junan Household Appliances in 2025: The subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and the leading enterprises with leading layout will continue to be optimistic about going out to sea. Guotai Junan said that in 2024, the domestic sales category will be divided and the overall export will be stable. The household appliance industry presents four key words: looking at the sky/involution/multi-point flowering/continuous going out to sea. Looking forward to 2025: look forward to the domestic demand policy and continue to be optimistic about the sea leader. Subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and we will continue to be optimistic about leading enterprises with leading layout. Be optimistic about the leading enterprises and pay attention to three main lines: 1) Continue to be optimistic about the leading enterprises under the logic blessing of trade-in and going out to sea; 2) For industries with pure domestic demand, pay attention to the turning point of enterprises; 3) Pay moderate attention to the fermentation of potential themes, such as AI+ intelligence and the reform of state-owned enterprises, and the growth of mergers and acquisitions.


Hong Kong suspended the import of poultry meat and poultry products from Ehime Prefecture, Japan. On December 11th, the Center for Food Safety of the Food and Environmental Hygiene Department of Hong Kong announced that in response to the notification from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan that highly pathogenic H5 avian influenza broke out in Ehime Prefecture, Japan, the Center immediately instructed the industry to suspend the import of poultry meat and poultry products (including eggs) from this area to protect public health in Hong Kong. A spokesman for the Centre said that according to the information of the Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong imported about 2,000 metric tons of frozen poultry meat and 227.42 million eggs from Japan in the first nine months of this year. The spokesman said: "The Center has contacted the Japanese authorities on the incident and will continue to pay close attention to the news of the outbreak of avian influenza issued by the World Organization for Animal Health and relevant authorities, and take appropriate actions in response to the development of the local epidemic."MediaTek will enter the supply chain of Apple's main hardware products for the first time. It is reported that Apple intends to significantly upgrade the functions of Apple Watch next year, and ask MediaTek for help. MediaTek will provide some new data computer chips of Apple Watch to share the orders originally supplied by Intel. This is the first time that MediaTek has entered Apple's main hardware product supply chain. In this regard, MediaTek said that he would not comment on the relevant order information. (Taiwan Province Economic Daily)OPENAI said that it is working hard to solve the current fault problem.


Japan's semiconductor sector rose collectively, with ADVANTEST up nearly 5%, DISCO up over 2% and Renesas Electronics up over 1%.The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.High-word-of-mouth movies rush to the box office at the end of the year. The Spring Festival file in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. According to the data of Lighthouse Professional Edition, as of December 11 (17: 40), the cumulative box office of 20 movies in 2024 has reached 1.119 billion yuan. Among them, "Good Things" has a box office of 569 million yuan and a douban score of 9.1, which leads both word-of-mouth and box office. In addition, this week's three potential new films, Broken Hell, Misjudgment and Lion Boy 2, have been screened and entered the box office sprint at the end of the year. It is also known that four films, Nezha's Devil Children Roaring the Sea, The Legend of the Condor Heroes: The Great Man, The Fortunes of the Gods Part II: The War in the West, The Bear Appears and Restarts the Future, have been confirmed to be scheduled for the Spring Festival in 2025. The "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" launched by the State Film Bureau on December 9 will last from December 2024 to February 2025, and a total of not less than 600 million yuan will be invested in movie viewing subsidies, covering the Lunar New Year and Spring Festival files, which will help promote the market's enthusiasm for watching movies. Huatai Securities released a research report saying that the box office of the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. In 2025, the supply and demand sides of the film market are expected to improve, or will push the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate upward. (Securities Daily)

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